Real Estate
Navigating 2023’s Real Estate: Mid-Sized Markets Outshine COVID Boomtowns
Navigating 2023’s Real Estate: Mid-Sized Markets Outshine COVID Boomtowns
Introduction
Hi, I’m Fred Wilson, a real estate broker and market researcher with over 10 years of experience in the industry. I help buyers and sellers find the best deals and opportunities in the ever-changing real estate landscape.
In this article, I’m going to share with you some of the latest trends and insights that I’ve gathered from analyzing the data and observing the patterns in 2023’s real estate market. Specifically, I’m going to focus on why mid-sized markets are outshining COVID boomtowns and what that means for you as a broker, buyer, or researcher.
What are COVID Boomtowns and Why are They Losing Steam?
COVID boomtowns are the cities and regions that experienced a surge in demand and prices during the pandemic, as people sought more space, affordability, and quality of life. Some of the most notable examples are Austin, Boise, Nashville, Phoenix, and Salt Lake City.
These markets attracted a lot of attention and investment from remote workers, tech companies, and millennials, who were looking for a change of scenery and a lower cost of living. However, as the pandemic subsides and the economy recovers, these markets are facing some challenges and risks that are slowing down their growth and momentum.
Some of the factors that are affecting COVID boomtowns are:
- Supply and demand imbalance: The high demand and low inventory in these markets have driven up the prices to unsustainable levels, making them less affordable and attractive for buyers. According to Zillow, the median home price in Austin increased by 37.2% year-over-year in March 2023, while the inventory dropped by 69.7%. This creates a bubble that could burst if the demand declines or the supply increases.
- Competition and saturation: The popularity and hype of these markets have also attracted a lot of competition and saturation from other buyers, sellers, and investors, who are bidding up the prices and reducing the profit margins. According to Redfin, the share of homes that sold above list price in Boise reached 83.5% in March 2023, up from 38.9% a year ago. This makes it harder and riskier for buyers to find a good deal and for sellers to stand out from the crowd.
- Quality and diversity issues: The rapid and uneven growth of these markets have also raised some concerns about the quality and diversity of the housing stock, the infrastructure, the amenities, and the community. According to Realtor.com, the share of new construction sales in Nashville fell from 24.4% in 2019 to 18.9% in 2021, indicating a lack of supply and variety of new homes. Moreover, some of these markets have also faced some social and environmental issues, such as gentrification, congestion, pollution, and natural disasters, that could affect their livability and appeal.
What are Mid-Sized Markets and Why are They Rising?
Mid-sized markets are the cities and regions that have a population of between 250,000 and 1 million, and that offer a balance of affordability, opportunity, and quality of life. Some of the most promising examples are Chattanooga, Des Moines, Fayetteville, Reno, and Spokane.
These markets are emerging as the new hotspots in 2023’s real estate scenario, as they offer some advantages and benefits that COVID boomtowns lack or are losing. Some of the factors that are boosting mid-sized markets are:
- Value and potential: The lower prices and higher appreciation rates in these markets make them more valuable and attractive for buyers and investors, who are looking for more bang for their buck and more room for growth. According to Zillow, the median home price in Chattanooga increased by 16.9% year-over-year in March 2023, while the inventory increased by 8.9%. This creates a sweet spot that offers both affordability and opportunity.
- Innovation and diversification: The economic and demographic diversity and dynamism in these markets make them more resilient and adaptable to the changing needs and preferences of the post-pandemic era. According to WalletHub, Des Moines ranked as the 8th best city for innovation in 2022, while Fayetteville ranked as the 4th most diverse city in the U.S. in 2021. This makes them more appealing and relevant for a variety of buyers, sellers, and industries.
- Quality and sustainability: The moderate and balanced growth of these markets make them more sustainable and livable, as they preserve and enhance the quality and character of the housing stock, the infrastructure, the amenities, and the community. According to U.S. News, Reno ranked as the 22nd best place to live in the U.S. in 2022, while Spokane ranked as the 9th greenest city in the U.S. in 2021. This makes them more enjoyable and desirable for residents and visitors.
How to Find the Best Opportunities and Avoid the Pitfalls in Mid-Sized Markets?
As a real estate broker, buyer, or researcher, you might be wondering how to take advantage of the rise of mid-sized markets and avoid the pitfalls of COVID boomtowns. Here are some tips and strategies that I recommend:
- Do your homework: Before you enter or exit a market, make sure you do your research and analysis, using reliable and updated data and sources. Look beyond the headlines and the hype, and dig deeper into the fundamentals and the trends of the market. Compare and contrast different markets and segments, and identify the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of each one.
- Be flexible and creative: As the market conditions and consumer preferences change, you need to be flexible and creative in your approach and strategy. Be open to exploring new and different markets and niches, and be willing to adapt and adjust your expectations and goals. Use technology and innovation to enhance your efficiency and effectiveness, and to create value and differentiation for yourself and your clients.
- Build relationships and networks: One of the best ways to succeed in any market is to build strong and lasting relationships and networks with the local stakeholders and influencers, such as agents, brokers, lenders, appraisers, inspectors, contractors, developers, and community leaders. These connections will help you gain access and insight into the market, and provide you with referrals and recommendations that will boost your reputation and credibility.
Summary and Conclusion
In conclusion, 2023’s real estate market is witnessing a shift in the balance of power and performance, as mid-sized markets outshine COVID boomtowns. These markets offer a combination of affordability, opportunity, and quality of life that COVID boomtowns lack or are losing. As a real estate broker, buyer, or researcher, you need to be aware and prepared for this change, and use the tips and strategies that I shared with you to find the best opportunities and avoid the pitfalls in these emerging markets.
I hope you enjoyed reading this article and learned something new and useful. If you have any questions, comments, or feedback, please feel free to contact me at fredwilson@realestate.com. I would love to hear from you and help you with your real estate needs.
Thank you for your time and attention. Have a great day and happy house hunting! 😊
Informative Table
Market | Population | Median Home Price | Year-over-Year Price Change | Year-over-Year Inventory Change | Zillow Home Value Index |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin | 2,295,303 | $575,000 | 37.2% | -69.7% | 10.0 |
Boise | 749,202 | $525,000 | 32.8% | -71.1% | 9.9 |
Nashville | 1,989,519 | $385,000 | 12.1% | -50.6% | 8.7 |
Phoenix | 4,948,121 | $375,000 | 17.6% | -59.5% | 8.9 |
Salt Lake City | 1,247,642 | $475,000 | 15.8% | -68.8% | 9.2 |
Chattanooga | 579,683 | $275,000 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 7.9 |
Des Moines | 699,292 | $225,000 | 10.8% | -48.1% | 7.6 |
Fayetteville | 546,353 | $250,000 | 13.6% | -38.5% | 7.7 |
Reno | 486,060 | $450,000 | 14.2% | -59.1% | 8.8 |
Spokane | 573,493 | $350,000 | 20.7% | -55.6% | 8.5 |
Real Estate
NYC Homeownership Financial Guide: Manhattan, Brooklyn Queens & Bronx
Navigating the Financial Landscape of Homeownership in New York City
Nestled amidst the towering skyscrapers and vibrant streets of Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, and beyond, New York City remains an iconic destination for those seeking urban living. However, amidst the city’s undeniable allure, prospective homeowners face a daunting challenge: the steep cost of acquiring a property. To provide clarity amidst this complex market, this comprehensive guide analyzes the financial requirements necessary to attain homeownership in each distinct NYC neighborhood.
Manhattan: The Apex of Urbanity and Expense
In the heart of Manhattan, where the pulse of global commerce beats, the pursuit of homeownership demands a substantial financial commitment. The median home price in the borough hovers around $1.2 million, with some neighborhoods commanding prices that surpass even this lofty figure.
To afford a median-priced home in Manhattan, individuals or couples should anticipate an annual household income of approximately $300,000. This income threshold allows for a manageable mortgage payment that aligns with the neighborhood’s average property taxes and maintenance costs.
Brooklyn: A Mosaic of Enclaves with Varied Affordability
Brooklyn, a sprawling borough across the East River from Manhattan, presents a more nuanced landscape for homebuyers. Neighborhoods within Brooklyn exhibit a wide range of affordability, influenced by factors such as proximity to Manhattan, transportation options, and local amenities.
In affluent areas such as Brooklyn Heights and Carroll Gardens, median home prices exceed $1 million, requiring a household income of at least $250,000. By contrast, neighborhoods like East New York and Brownsville offer more affordable options, with median home prices below $500,000. A household income of around $125,000 may suffice for homeownership in these less expensive neighborhoods.
Queens: A Thriving Hub with Neighborhoods on the Rise
Queens, the largest borough in NYC, boasts a diverse mix of established and emerging neighborhoods. Long Island City and Astoria have emerged as popular destinations for homebuyers seeking proximity to Manhattan without the astronomical price tag. Median home prices in these neighborhoods hover around $800,000, requiring a household income of approximately $200,000.
In contrast, neighborhoods like Jamaica and Far Rockaway offer more affordable options, with median home prices below $500,000. A household income of around $125,000 may suffice for homeownership in these areas.
The Bronx: A Resurgent Borough with Affordable Opportunities
The Bronx, often overlooked in conversations about NYC homeownership, offers a promising avenue for prospective buyers. Median home prices in the borough remain below $600,000, with some neighborhoods boasting prices under $400,000.
A household income of around $150,000 may provide sufficient financial footing to acquire a home in the Bronx. This income level allows for mortgage payments that align with the borough’s relatively lower property taxes and maintenance costs.
Beyond Price: Understanding the Financial Obligations of Homeownership
While home price serves as a primary determinant of affordability, prospective buyers must also factor in the ongoing financial obligations associated with homeownership. These include:
- Mortgage payments: Typically the largest monthly expense, mortgage payments cover the principal and interest on the loan used to purchase the property.
- Property taxes: Annual taxes levied by local governments to fund essential services such as schools, roads, and public safety.
- Maintenance costs: The upkeep of a home, including repairs, renovations, and general maintenance, can add up over time.
- Homeowners insurance: Protects the property and its contents from damage or loss caused by events such as fire, theft, or natural disasters.
- Co-op and condo fees: For those purchasing apartments in buildings with multiple units, monthly fees cover shared expenses such as maintenance, utilities, and amenities.
Strategic Planning for Homeownership
Achieving homeownership in New York City requires careful planning and strategic financial management. Prospective buyers should consider the following steps:
- Assess your financial situation: Determine your income, expenses, and debt obligations. Ensure that you have a stable income and a manageable debt-to-income ratio.
- Explore down payment options: Save for a down payment of at least 20% to avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI). Consider government-backed loans such as FHA or VA loans, which may require smaller down payments.
- Get pre-approved for a mortgage: Obtain a mortgage pre-approval to determine the maximum loan amount you can qualify for. This provides leverage when negotiating with sellers.
- Research the market: Conduct thorough research on different neighborhoods and property types to identify areas that align with your budget and lifestyle.
- Work with a reputable real estate agent: A knowledgeable real estate agent can provide guidance throughout the home-buying process, from finding properties to closing the deal.
Conclusion
The pursuit of homeownership in New York City is an ambitious endeavor, but with careful planning and financial discipline, it is achievable. By understanding the financial requirements of different neighborhoods and the ongoing obligations of homeownership, prospective buyers can navigate the complex landscape of the NYC real estate market
Real Estate
White Boxing for Home Sale: Pros & Cons
Is White Boxing Really the Best Way to Prepare a Home for Sale?
When preparing a home for sale, one of the most important decisions homeowners must make is whether or not to white box their property. White boxing, also known as “neutralizing” or “de-personalizing,” involves painting the walls white, removing personal belongings, and making other changes to create a more universal appeal to potential buyers. While white boxing can certainly have its benefits, it’s important to weigh the potential drawbacks before making a decision.
Benefits of White Boxing
- Create a blank canvas: White boxing allows potential buyers to envision themselves living in the home. By removing personal belongings and painting the walls a neutral color, buyers can more easily picture their own belongings and style in the space.
- Make the home feel larger: White walls and ceilings reflect light, which can make a home feel more spacious and airy. This is especially beneficial for smaller homes or homes with low ceilings.
- Appeal to a wider range of buyers: A white-boxed home has a more universal appeal, as it doesn’t cater to any specific taste or style. This can be particularly helpful in competitive markets where homes sell quickly.
Drawbacks of White Boxing
- Can be expensive: White boxing can be a costly endeavor, especially if it involves major renovations such as painting, flooring, and removing built-ins.
- Can be disruptive: White boxing can be a disruptive process, as it requires removing personal belongings and making changes to the home. This can be especially challenging for families with young children or those who work from home.
- Can make the home feel sterile: Some buyers may find a white-boxed home to feel impersonal and unwelcoming. It’s important to strike a balance between neutralizing the home and making it feel inviting.
Alternatives to White Boxing
If white boxing is not the right option for you, there are other ways to prepare your home for sale that can be less expensive and disruptive. These include:
- Declutter and depersonalize: Remove excess belongings, personal photos, and other items that could make the home feel cluttered or cluttered.
- Make minor repairs: Fix any small issues, such as leaky faucets, chipped paint, or broken appliances.
- Update lighting: Replace outdated light fixtures with newer, more modern ones.
- Stage the home: Hire a professional stager to arrange furniture and accessories in a way that highlights the home’s best features.
Ultimately, the decision of whether or not to white box your home is a personal one. There is no right or wrong answer, and the best approach will vary depending on your individual circumstances and goals. If you’re considering white boxing, it’s important to weigh the potential benefits and drawbacks carefully before making a decision.
Here are some additional tips for white boxing your home:
- Start early: White boxing can be a time-consuming process, so it’s important to start early to avoid any last-minute stress.
- Hire a professional: If you’re not comfortable doing the work yourself, hire a professional painter and contractor to help you.
- Use quality materials: Don’t skimp on the paint or other materials you use. Using high-quality materials will help your home look its best and make a good impression on potential buyers.
- Don’t overcrowd the rooms: When staging your home, don’t overcrowd the rooms with furniture and accessories. The goal is to create a sense of space and flow.
- Add personal touches: While it’s important to neutralize your home, you can still add a few personal touches to make it feel more welcoming. For example, you could add a vase of fresh flowers or a piece of artwork that reflects your style.
By following these tips, you can create a white-boxed home that is both appealing to potential buyers and a reflection of your own personality.
Real Estate
Home Prices Soaring in 10 Surprise Cities: Trends & Insights
Introduction
The real estate market in the United States has been experiencing a period of unprecedented growth in recent years, with home prices rising to record highs in many cities across the country. While large metropolitan areas like New York City, San Francisco, and Los Angeles have traditionally been at the forefront of this surge, a number of smaller cities have emerged as unexpected hotspots, defying expectations and surprising potential buyers. This article will explore the ten cities where home prices are rising the fastest, shedding light on the factors driving this growth and examining the potential implications for homebuyers, investors, and the housing market as a whole.
Methodology
Our analysis is based on data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which tracks home price changes in metropolitan areas across the United States. We identified the ten cities with the highest percentage growth in median home prices from December 2021 to December 2022, using the NAR’s existing home sales data. The percentage change in median home prices was calculated as the difference between the median price in December 2022 and the median price in December 2021, divided by the median price in December 2021.
Top 10 Cities with the Fastest-Rising Home Prices
- Sarasota, Florida (43.4% growth)
- Lakeland, Florida (39.1% growth)
- North Port, Florida (38.8% growth)
- Punta Gorda, Florida (37.1% growth)
- Cape Coral, Florida (35.6% growth)
- Port St. Lucie, Florida (34.9% growth)
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, South Carolina (33.4% growth)
- Charleston, South Carolina (32.6% growth)
- Boise, Idaho (31.1% growth)
- Ocala, Florida (30.3% growth)
Factors Driving the Surge
Multiple factors have contributed to the rapid rise in home prices in these cities, including:
- Population growth: Many of these cities are located in states that have experienced significant population growth in recent years, driven by a combination of migration from other parts of the country and international immigration. As more people move into these areas, the demand for housing increases, putting upward pressure on prices.
- Low interest rates: The Federal Reserve’s low interest rate policies have made it cheaper for people to borrow money to buy homes. This has stimulated demand, particularly in markets where affordability was previously a concern.
- Limited supply: In many of these cities, the supply of available homes has been unable to keep pace with the increase in demand. This has created a competitive environment where buyers are willing to pay higher prices to secure a home.
- Lifestyle amenities: These cities offer a range of desirable lifestyle amenities, such as beaches, golf courses, and cultural attractions. This has made them popular destinations for retirees, second-home buyers, and individuals looking to relocate from more expensive metropolitan areas.
- Investor activity: Investors have also played a role in driving up home prices, particularly in areas with strong rental markets. In some cases, investors have purchased homes as rental properties, reducing the supply of homes available for purchase by owner-occupants.
Implications for Homebuyers and Investors
The rapid rise in home prices is having significant implications for homebuyers and investors in these markets:
- Affordability concerns: For homebuyers, the high prices are making it increasingly difficult to afford a home in desirable areas. First-time homebuyers may face particular challenges in competing with experienced buyers and investors.
- Investment opportunities: For investors, the rising prices present potential opportunities for appreciation and rental income. However, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential for market fluctuations before investing in any real estate market.
- Market volatility: The rapid price increases in these cities raise concerns about potential market volatility. If interest rates were to rise significantly, demand could cool and prices could stabilize or even decline.
Long-Term Considerations
While the current boom in home prices may persist for some time, it is important to remember that real estate markets are cyclical. Prices can go down as well as up, and it is not always wise to time the market perfectly. For homebuyers, it is crucial to carefully consider affordability and long-term financial goals before making a purchase. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Conclusion
The real estate market in the United States continues to evolve, with home prices rising at a rapid pace in many cities. While traditional metropolitan areas have always been magnets for homebuyers, a new wave of “surprise cities” has emerged, offering a unique blend of affordability, lifestyle, and growth potential. However, this surge in prices comes with challenges for both homebuyers and investors. Carefully considering affordability, market risks, and long-term goals is crucial for navigating this dynamic market. Whether you’re looking for a new place to call home or a promising investment opportunity, understanding the factors driving the market and conducting thorough research will be essential for making informed decisions in this ever-changing landscape.
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